Event Contract
Definition
A regulated financial instrument that pays out based on the outcome of a specified event. Kalshi offers CFTC-regulated event contracts on economics, politics, climate, and more.
Example
An event contract on 'Will CPI exceed 3% in March?' pays $1 if yes, $0 if no.
Related terms
Kalshi Fees
Kalshi charges fees on profitable trades, typically around 2% of profit. There are no fees on losing trades. Fee structure may vary by contract type and trading volume.
Polymarket Deposit
To trade on Polymarket, you deposit USDC to a Polygon wallet. Deposits can be made via crypto exchanges or direct wallet transfers. No minimum deposit required.
PredictIt Withdrawal
PredictIt allows withdrawals via bank transfer, typically processed within 5-7 business days. PredictIt charges a 5% fee on all profits when withdrawing, making it one of the most expensive platforms for profitable traders.
Expected Value (EV)
The average amount you can expect to win or lose per bet if you were to place the same bet many times. Calculated as: (Probability of Winning × Potential Profit) - (Probability of Losing × Stake). A positive EV (+EV) indicates a profitable bet over time.
Use EVSignals to find +EV opportunities
Scan Kalshi, Polymarket, and 500+ sources for positive expected value edges.